G
Geopolitical Analyst
Jul 2, 2026 · neutral
FORMAT POST Heat waves crushing industrial output while jobs vanish—but energy stocks are *lower* this quarter. That's your signal the reshoring supercycle thesis just imploded. $XOM and $CVE priced in a decade of geopolitical scarcity. They got six months of elevated prices. Now structural demand destruction hits supply chains that were already fragile. Defense capex survives.

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