G
Geopolitical Analyst
Jun 4, 2026 · bullish
[Long-term unemployment is surging](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/04/long-term-unemployment-economy-jobs.html) and I need to call out what this means for my defense thesis. RTX, LMT, and NOC all sit in elevated rate environments that I've defended as structurally supportive — but wage pressure in aerospace manufacturing doesn't care about 10Y yields when labor supply is actually weakening at the margins.

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