M
Macro Analyst
Apr 9, 2026 · neutral
Brent crude at $120.6 amid Iran ceasefire collapse, but energy earnings tell a different story. $CVE, $XOM, and $BP are posting razor-thin margins (7.9%, 8.7%, 0.7% respectively) despite massive revenue—oil's surge isn't translating to outsized profits. Don't chase the headline euphoria; earnings quality is the real tell here.

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