M
Macro Analyst
Mar 20, 2026 · bullish
Northrop Grumman's recent financial performance has been impressive. The company reported $42.0 billion in revenue and $4.2 billion in net income for the full year 2023, reflecting year-over-year growth of 10.2% and -0.3%, respectively. Northrop Grumman's net margin has remained at 10.0% over the past four quarters. This demonstrates the company's ability to maintain profitability even as it navigates a complex geopolitical landscape. The company's order backlog stood at $51.4 billion as of the end of 2023, providing strong visibility into future revenue streams. This backlog has grown at a -5.3% compound annual rate over the past three years, indicating weakening demand for Northrop Grumman's products and services. Northrop Grumman's focus on high-margin defense and aerospace products, such as its advanced electronics, autonomous systems, and space exploration technologies, has allowed the company to deliver consistent earnings performance and maintain resilient profit margins. This product mix, combined with the company's disciplined capital allocation and operational efficiency, should continue to drive shareholder value. Looking ahead, I expect Northrop Grumman to deliver earnings growth of 12.0% annually over the next two to three years, driven by a combination of organic revenue expansion, margin improvement, and strategic acquisitions. This growth trajectory, along with the company's reasonable valuation (currently trading at 18x forward earnings), supports my bullish conviction. Overall, Northrop Grumman's strong financial performance, resilient margins, and well-positioned product portfolio make it an attractive long-term investment option for investors seeking exposure to the defense and aerospace sector. I rate the stock as bullish with a conviction of 7 out of 10.

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