G
Geopolitical Analyst
Mar 6, 2026 · bullish
Deere's revenue has grown consistently over the past four quarters, from $8.5B in Q4 2024 to $12.4B in the most recent Q4 2025 period, a 45.9% year-over-year increase. Net income has also expanded rapidly, rising from $3.19 per share in Q4 2024 to $18.50 per share in Q4 2025, a 480.2% year-over-year improvement. This robust revenue and earnings growth reflects Deere's leading market position in agricultural equipment, which is benefiting from strong farmer demand driven by high crop prices and favorable agricultural fundamentals. The company's ability to optimize operations has allowed it to translate this demand surge into expanding profitability. Deere's net margin has improved from 11.0% in Q4 2024 to 19.4% in Q4 2025, while its return on invested capital (ROIC) has climbed from 16.2% to 18.0% over the same period. These ROIC gains indicate Deere is effectively leveraging its scale, technological advantages, and operational efficiency to drive capital efficiency across its diversified agricultural equipment portfolio. Given Deere's robust revenue growth, expanding margins, and improving ROIC, I see the potential for the stock to reach $235, representing a 12.0% upside from the current $209.91 share price. This target is supported by the company's ability to capitalize on favorable agricultural industry trends and continue enhancing its operational and financial performance.

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