Certara, Inc.(CERT)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,620 of 2,879 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
CERT Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Certara, Inc. (CERT), a Technology sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores CERT at 47.0/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,620 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. CERT scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (76.6). Areas of concern include institutional flow (12.3) and earnings quality (30.0), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 19.8/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Certara, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $106.9M, net income of $-8.8M, free cash flow of $11.1M. Top institutional holders of CERT by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS, DEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C), based on the most recent SEC filings. CERT trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1827090. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate CERT daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Certara, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Certara, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 57 since 2022, currently 47.0 — a stable long-term trajectory across 52 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$106.9M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-8.8M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$11.1M
ROIC
Q1 2026
-0.3%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.29
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+8.7% YoYNet Income
+78.2% YoYOperating Income
+95.8% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+77.1% YoYTotal Assets
+0.8% YoYTotal Debt
+1.4% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-2.8% YoY| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $385.1M +8.7% | $354.3M +5.6% | $335.6M +17.3% | $286.1M +17.5% | $243.5M +16.8% | $208.5M |
| Net Income | $-12.1M +78.2% | $-55.4M -475.8% | $14.7M +211.0% | $-13.3M +73.1% | $-49.4M -453.4% | $-8.9M |
| Operating Income | $-1.7M +95.8% | $-40.8M -225.4% | $32.5M +139.5% | $13.6M +155.6% | $-24.4M -224.5% | $19.6M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.08 +77.1% | $-0.35 -488.9% | $0.09 +200.0% | $-0.09 +75.7% | $-0.37 -428.6% | $-0.07 |
| Total Assets | $1.58B +0.8% | $1.56B -0.6% | $1.57B +4.0% | $1.51B +19.1% | $1.27B | — |
| Total Debt | $298.4M +1.4% | $294.3M -0.6% | $296.0M -0.6% | $297.8M -1.9% | $303.5M | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $80.5M -2.8% | $82.8M -10.6% | $92.5M +53.2% | $60.4M +34.8% | $44.8M +17.8% | $38.0M |
AI Insight: CERT Financial Trends
Revenue stabilized near $105M but profitability collapsed in Q1 2026 with operating income turning negative for the first time since Q2 2024.
• Revenue grew from $93M (Q2 2024) to $107M (Q1 2026), a 15% increase over 9 quarters despite Q4 2025–Q1 2026 deceleration.
• Operating cash flow remained positive and stable, averaging $24M across 8 quarters with $12M in Q1 2026.
• Total debt fell steadily from $300M (Q2 2024) to $295M (Q1 2026); equity contracted from $1,043M to $1,017M.
⚠ Operating income swung from +$8M (Q1 2025) to −$4M (Q1 2026); net income deteriorated to −$9M, worst since Q2 2024.
⚠ Net income has been volatile and negative in 4 of last 8 quarters; no sustained profitability established.
AI Insight: CERT Ratio Trends
Certara's profitability collapsed in Q1 2026, with operating margin turning deeply negative after a year of volatile but generally positive momentum.
• Operating margin deteriorated sharply from 0.8% in Q4 2025 to -4.0% in Q1 2026, reversing gains built since Q2 2024's -9.7%.
• Net profit margin sank to -8.2% in Q1 2026 from -5.7% in Q4 2025, the weakest reading in the trailing dataset.
• ROIC fell to -1.3% in Q1 2026 from 0.2% in Q4 2025, erasing incremental capital efficiency gains from mid-2025.
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio rose to 0.29 in Q1 2026 from 0.28, first increase since Q2 2024—potential sign of leverage management slipping.
⚠ Quarterly profitability shows extreme volatility (OpMargin ranged -9.7% to 9.1% over past 18 months)—underlying business stability unclear.
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Top Institutional Holders of CERT
BlackRock, Inc.
$81.6M14,307,878 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$48.8M8,562,508 shDEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C)
$44.5M7,808,605 shLEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP
$39.1M6,858,209 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$34.0M5,969,196 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$30.6M5,360,429 shWASATCH ADVISORS LP
$30.1M5,272,166 shArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC
$26.2M4,592,707 shCITADEL ADVISORS LLC
$25.9M4,545,848 shSTATE STREET CORP
$22.5M3,940,495 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $81.6M | 14,307,878 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $48.8M | 8,562,508 |
| DEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. (SERIES C) | $44.5M | 7,808,605 |
| LEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP | $39.1M | 6,858,209 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $34.0M | 5,969,196 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $30.6M | 5,360,429 |
| WASATCH ADVISORS LP | $30.1M | 5,272,166 |
| ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC | $26.2M | 4,592,707 |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | $25.9M | 4,545,848 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $22.5M | 3,940,495 |
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Popular Research
Is CERT a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Certara, Inc. (CERT) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Technology sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for CERT are available on the CERT stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own CERT?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling CERT. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Certara, Inc.'s investment landscape.