13F Pro · Market Intelligence Briefing

Rate shock and geopolitical inflation combine to flush cyclicals and defensives alike.

When the front end of the yield curve jumps 8 basis points on a Fed hold day, no sector is safe except the one that profits from the conflict itself.

Committee position: 65/35Breadth: 1 of 12 sectors higherDispersion: 3.36 pts10 analysts

Eleven of twelve sectors fell on March 18, 2026, with Materials leading losses at -2.90% and only Energy finishing higher at +0.46%, as the two-year Treasury yield surged 8 basis points to 3.76%, compressing risk appetite across the tape.

Since the last briefing

Yesterday's verdict called for selective re-engagement with multi-week confirmed defense, space, and energy infrastructure names while avoiding Healthcare and connectivity semiconductors until the Fed provides a clear rate signal.

Companies in this briefing

The rest of this briefing

What drove the session and how it transmitted, the exposure table by persistence grade, where the committee disagreed, its verdict and weighting, and the falsifiers that would prove it wrong.

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